Purpose of this Module

Understanding Logic allows us to make rational decisions when the facts are known, but what about when things are uncertain? Often our intuitive sense of the likelihood of an event can fail us horribly. In this module we will explore the fundamentals of Probability, which help us make informed decisions when the facts are less clear.

Note: With 10 sections this is a comparatively long module, so following section 11.5 there is a mid-chapter quiz to assess your progress to that point.

Module Learning Outcomes

Students will understand and differentiate empirical and theoretical probabilities and the odds of an event.
Students will solve probability problems involving the words or and and, as well as conditional probability.
Students will apply counting methods, including permutations and combinations, to calculate the probability of an event.

Learning Activities "To Do List"

In order to achieve these outcomes, please complete the following:

- 11.1 Empirical and Theoretical Probabilities
  - 11.1 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.1 Homework
- 11.2 Odds
  - 11.2 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.2 Homework
- 11.3 Expected Value (Expectation)
  - 11.3 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.3 Homework
- 11.4 Tree Diagrams
  - 11.4 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.4 Homework
- 11.5 OR and AND Problems
  - 11.5 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.5 Homework
- Complete Chapter 11 Mid-Chapter Quiz
- 11.6 Conditional Probability
  - 11.6 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.6 Homework
- 11.7 The Fundamental Counting Principle and Permutations
  - 11.7 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.7 Homework
- 11.8 Combinations
  - 11.8 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.8 Homework
- 11.9 Solving Probability Problems by Using Combinations
  - 11.9 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.9 Homework
- 11.10 Binomial Probability Formula
  - 11.10 Reading and Lecture Video
  - Complete Section 11.10 Homework
- Complete Chapter 11 Review Homework
- Complete Chapter 11 Review Quiz
- Complete Chapter 11 Test